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25.02.2025 10:06 AM
BCH/USD - 當前情況分析及展望
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隨著新交易週的開始,空頭交易者們正在積極努力,試圖突破整固區域,並脫離329.98的月度水平影響。為達成此目標,他們必須將價格壓低至最近的低點272.32以下,這將重啟下降趨勢。如果成功,下一個空頭目標將在突破 Ichimoku 雲的週下降目標範圍內,具體位於210.79至154.37之間。

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在整合階段,市場長時間徘徊於329.98的水平,這是日線短期趨勢與月線Ichimoku交叉的最終水準匯聚之處。然而,這些水準現在已分開。如果市場情緒轉變,多頭將需要重新奪回他們的地位。這意味著他們不僅需要克服月線329.98的阻力,還需要逾越目前位於305.95、338.33、358.72和379.11的日線「死亡交叉」的阻力。

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在較低的時間框架中,空頭目前佔據主導地位,推動下降趨勢。目前,唯一未測試且未跌破的支撐水平是經典Pivot水平的S3,位於266.66。如果跌勢停止並且多頭活動重回市場,那麼修正反彈的主要目標將是較低時間框架的關鍵水平,尤其是311.68(每日中樞Pivot水平)和318.69(每週長期趨勢)。突破並反轉這一趨勢可能會顯著改變市場當前的力量平衡。

***

技術分析組成部分:
  • 較高時間框架:一目均衡表(9.26.52)和Fibonacci Kijun水平
  • H1:經典Pivot點和120期移動平均線(每週長期趨勢)

Evangelos Poulakis,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
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