empty
17.01.2025 12:32 PM
EUR/JPY: Analysis and Forecast

This image is no longer relevant

Today, the EUR/JPY pair is attempting to attract buyers, trading slightly above the psychological level of 160.00.

This image is no longer relevant

However, this rise lacks bullish conviction due to divergent monetary policy outlooks between the Bank of Japan (BoJ) and the European Central Bank (ECB). This suggests that any further upward movement might be viewed as a selling opportunity.

Recent comments from BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda and Deputy Governor Ryozo Himino have heightened expectations of an interest rate hike at the next monetary policy meeting scheduled for next week. Additionally, increasing inflationary pressures in Japan further bolster the prospects of tighter monetary policy. As a result, a potential rate hike in Japan would strengthen the yen and limit the upside for the EUR/JPY pair.

On the other hand, the euro continues to face challenges in attracting significant buyers amid growing expectations that the ECB may further lower borrowing costs due to concerns over the eurozone's fragile economy. Rising core annual inflation in Germany has also intensified fears of stagflation in the region's largest economy, further capping the recovery of EUR/JPY.

For short-term trading opportunities, it would be prudent to focus on the release of the Eurozone Consumer Price Index (CPI) later today.

Despite these efforts, spot prices remain on track for their third consecutive weekly loss. The fundamental backdrop clearly favors the bears, reinforcing expectations of the continuation of the multi-week downward trend.

From a technical perspective, oscillators on the daily chart remain in negative territory, confirming the likelihood of a persistent downtrend.

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Select timeframe
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hour
4
hours
1
day
1
week
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

Bitcoin Can't Lose

There's never a dull moment with Bitcoin. Sometimes it behaves like a risky asset, sometimes like a safe haven. At the beginning of April, the cryptocurrency was jokingly referred

Marek Petkovich 19:03 2025-04-28 UTC+2

The Market Has Outplayed the Professionals

"Follow the smart money" — this classic principle of technical analysis suggests it's safer to side with professionals rather than the crowd. However, in 2025, such an approach would have

Marek Petkovich 19:00 2025-04-28 UTC+2

USD fails to be resilient

Is the US dollar overvalued? Bank of America thinks so. The bank points out that in previous cycles, when the USD Index peaked in the mid-1980s and early 2000s

Marek Petkovich 16:23 2025-04-28 UTC+2

ECB Ready to Cut Rates Further

Officials at the European Central Bank are preparing for further interest rate cuts, anticipating that U.S. tariff policies will inflict serious and prolonged damage on the economy, even

Jakub Novak 09:24 2025-04-28 UTC+2

The Upcoming Week May Be Positive for Markets but Negative for the Dollar and Gold (we expect further growth in CFD contracts for S&P 500 futures and Bitcoin)

The upcoming week will be rich in important economic data releases, which could have a noticeable impact on market dynamics — but will they be able to? Amid the geopolitical

Pati Gani 09:12 2025-04-28 UTC+2

EUR/USD. Weekly Preview. Eurozone Inflation, U.S. GDP, ISM Manufacturing Index, April Nonfarm Payrolls

The upcoming week's economic calendar is packed with important releases. As usual, the beginning of a new month brings significant macroeconomic reports from the U.S. and the Eurozone, typically triggering

Irina Manzenko 06:49 2025-04-28 UTC+2

What to Pay Attention to on April 28? A Breakdown of Fundamental Events for Beginners

No macroeconomic events are scheduled for Monday. If the market barely reacted to macroeconomic data last week, there is nothing to expect on Monday. Of course, Donald Trump could make

Paolo Greco 05:51 2025-04-28 UTC+2

The U.S. Dollar. Weekly Preview

The United States is facing an important week, but it is unlikely to be important for the U.S. dollar. Significant reports on the labor market, job openings, unemployment

Chin Zhao 01:05 2025-04-28 UTC+2

British Pound. Weekly Preview

The British pound is doing even better than the euro. The market keeps finding additional reasons to increase demand for the pound, even when the euro remains stagnant. Therefore, even

Chin Zhao 01:05 2025-04-28 UTC+2

XAU/USD. Analysis and Forecast

Gold maintains a bearish tone today, though it has slightly recovered from the daily low, climbing back above the $3300 level. Investors continue to hope for a potential de-escalation

Irina Yanina 12:23 2025-04-25 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.